“Sustainability and Agricultural Trade: Interplay between Climate Change and Trade of Agri-Food Products”
December 8-10, 2024 Annual Meeting
Lago Mar Beach Resort & Club
1700 South Ocean Lane, Fort Lauderdale, FL 33316
In-person conference (no virtual option)
REGISTER HERE
Call for papers | Hotel and airport information | Meet the presenters
DOWNLOAD AGENDA AND PARTICIPANT LIST {PDF}
As of Dec. 3, 2024
AGENDA
The tentative schedule meeting is 8:30 a.m. to 5:30 p.m. EST Sunday and Monday and 8:30 am to 1:30 pm EST Tuesday. In person only at the Lago Mar Beach Resort and Club.
Sunday, December 8, 2024: THEME DAY
-
- 7:30-8:30 am: Breakfast and registration
- 8:30-8:45 am: Pick up name tags and program
- 8:45-9:00 am: Welcome and introduction: Marcel Adenäuer
- 9:00-10:30 am: Speaker: Farid Farrokhi; moderator: Jason Grant; Discussant: Ian Sheldon
10:30-10:45 am: Coffee break
-
- 10:45 am -12:15 pm: Speaker: Mark Bradford (invited); moderator: Annelies Deuss; Discussant: Thomas Heckelei
- 12:15-1:30 pm: Lunch with Speaker: Darci Vetter; moderator: Sharon Sydow
1:30-1:45 pm: Break
-
- 1:45-3:15 pm: Speaker: Michael Roberts; Moderator: Shawn Arita; Discussant: Wyatt Thompson
3:15-3:30 pm: Coffee break
-
- 3:30-4:15 pm: Speaker: Kaitlin Sighinolfi; Moderator: Sandro Steinbach
- 4:15-5:30 pm: Policy Panel: Elise Golan, Tassos Haniotis, Claire Citeau, Kaitlin Sighinolfi, Darci Vetter
5:30-6:00 pm: Break
-
- 6:00-8:30 pm: Reception and Dinner
The themed sessions are being organized by Annelies Deuss (OECD), Marcel Adenäuer (OECD), Lee Ann Jackson (OECD), Sandro Steinbach (North Dakota State University), Shawn Arita (OCE), and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech). Non-themed sessions are being organized by Jonathan Coleman (U.S. International Trade Commission) and will be scheduled in the time slots following the Theme Day sessions.
The annual Hatch Multistate S-1072 Meeting is co-organized with the IATRC annual meeting. Attendance at the annual meeting is required for faculty who are part of this Hatch project.
NON THEME DAY DRAFT AGENDA
*Agenda subject to change, please check back for updates*
| MONDAY, DECEMBER 9, 2024 | ||
| 7:30-8:30 | BREAKFAST | |
| 8:30-10:00 | CONCURRENT SESSIONS 1, 2 AND 3 | |
| Session 1: | Sustainability and Agricultural Trade: Special Issue Session 1 | |
| Moderator: | Bernard Cartin (Agriculture Canada) | |
| 1) | Targeted Trade Policy Instruments and Climate Change Mitigation: The Case of Environmental Provisions in Trade Agreements | |
| Petros Mkandawire, Dela-Dem Doe Fiankor, and Bernhard Brümmer (University of Göttingen) | ||
| 2) | Some Economic Implications of Including Harvested Grain Related CO2 in Climate Accounting | |
| Richard S. Gray (University of Saskatchewan) | ||
| 3) | The Effect of Urbanization on Environmental Emissions: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis | |
| Sylvanus Kwaku Afesorgbor and Binyam Afewerk Demena (University of Guelph) | ||
| Session 2: | Trade Disputes and Resolution | |
| Moderator: | Lee Ann Jackson (OECD) | |
| 1) | The Future of International Trade Dispute Resolution in a Post-WTO World | |
| Daniel C.K. Chow and Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University) | ||
| 2) | Enforcement and Revocation Dynamics of Agricultural Trade Remedies: A Study of Sunset Reviews | |
| Sijia Chen (University of Connecticut ) | ||
| 3) | Analyzing the Response to the Fading Out of United States and China Trade Disputes: An Intertemporal Analysis of the Global Agricultural Sector | |
| Tim Ölkers and Oliver Mussoff (University Göttingen) | ||
| Session 3: | Effects of SPS Measures on Trade | |
| Moderator: | Lia Nogueira (University of Nebraska) | |
| 1) | Potential Economic Implications of African Swine Fever Outbreaks in the United States: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis | |
| Taís C. de Menezes, Amanda M. Countryman, and Dustin L. Pendell (Colorado State University) | ||
| 2) | Maximum Residues Limits (MRLs) of Pesticide and International Trade Dynamics to MERCOSUR and EU | |
| Michelle Márcia Viana Martins (University of Viçosa, Brazil) and Heloisa Lee Burnquist (University of São Paulo) | ||
| 3) | Sanitary and Phytosanitary Electronic Certificates: Current Practices and Benefits | |
| Edith Laget and Annelies Deuss (OECD, Paris) | ||
| 10:00 ‐ 10:30 | BREAK | |
| 10:30-12:30 | CONCURRENT SESSIONS 4, 5 AND 6 | |
| Session 4: | Modeling the Trade Impact of Sustainability | |
| Moderator: | Eric Davis (USDA, ERS) | |
| 1) | Brazil’s Agricultural Expansion and Sustainable Initiatives to Preserve the Environment | |
| Constanza Valdes and Eric Davis (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 2) | The Effect of EU Deforestation Regulations on Bilateral Trade and Regional Production | |
| Ziqian Gong (RTI International) and Eric C. Davis (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 3) | The Trade Impact of the EU’s Climate Plans and Deforestation Rules | |
| Justin Baker (North Carolina State University) Eric Davis, and Maros Ivanic (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 4) | The Global Implications of Taxing Land in Agricultural Production: Land use, Agricultural Production, and Consumer Well-Being | |
| Eric Davis, Maros Ivanic (USDA, ERS) and Brent Sohngen (Ohio State University) | ||
| Session 5: | Market Volatility and Trade | |
| Moderator: | Andrew Muhammad (University of Tennessee) | |
| 1) | Food Price Volatility, Trade Policies and Climate-Induced Conflict: A Review | |
| Bolanle Atilola (Langston University) and Yacob Zereyesus (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 2) | Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Oil Price Shocks and Food Inflation- An Analysis for Net Food Importing Countries | |
| Poornima Varma (Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad), Akash Issar (Texas A&M University), and Gopinath Munisamy (University of Georgia) | ||
| 3) | Dynamic Impacts of Production Shocks and Trade Network Structures on Import Flows for Staple Commodities | |
| Thomas Heckelei and Yaghoob Jafari (University of Bonn, Germany) | ||
| Session 6: | Aspects of Regional Trade Agreements | |
| Moderator: | Carla Zarbà (University of Catania, Italy) | |
| 1) | Environmental Provisions in RTAs and Global Value Chain Position | |
| Tim Ölkers (University of Göttingen), Miao Li (Huazhong Agricultural University, China), and Wendong Zhang (Cornell University) | ||
| 2) | Analyzing Agricultural Export Patterns in Mercosur: The Role of Trade Agreements | |
| Raphael Gomes da Silva and Lia Nogueira (University of Nebraska) | ||
| 3) | FTAs on Agricultural Trade Margins | |
| Sandro Steinbach, Yasin Yildirim, and Carlos Zurita (North Dakota State University) | ||
| 4) | Evaluating North American Dairy Trade Pre- and Post-USMCA Using a Quantitative Trade Model | |
| Ajit Khanal and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech) | ||
| 12:30‐1:30 | LUNCH | |
| 1:30-3:30 | CONCURRENT SESSIONS 7, 8 AND 9 | |
| Session 7: | The Impact of Demographic Change on Global Agricultural Trade and Food Security | |
| Organizer: | Eric Davis (USDA, ERS) | |
| 1) | Overview of the Projected Changes in Demography | |
| Eric Davis (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 2) | The Trade Impact of the Demographic Decline Happening in the EU and East Asia | |
| William Johnson (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 3) | Can Demographic Growth in Other Regions Offset the Decline in U.S. Exports to East Asia and the EU? | |
| Lila Cardell (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 4) | The Outlook for Africa: Modeling the Trade Impacts of Projected Population and Income Pathways | |
| Adam Gerval and Michael Johnson (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 5) | Latin America’s Demographic Dynamics: Food Market Impacts and U.S. Agricultural Exports | |
| Constanza Valdes (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 6) | Demographic Growth in South/Southeast Asia: Implications for U.S. Agriculture and Food Security | |
| Kayode Ajewole (USDA, ERS) | ||
| Session 8: | Commodity Trade Analysis | |
| Moderator: | Gulcan Onel (University of Florida) | |
| 1) | The Imported Challenge: Economic Impact of Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Imports on U.S. Producers | |
| Ajit Khanal (Virginia Tech), Dixit Poudel and Munisamy Gopinath (University of Georgia) | ||
| 2) | Global Trade Reallocations and Welfare Implications of the Russia-Ukraine War for Cereal Grains and Oilseeds | |
| Sandro Steinbach and Carlos Zurita (North Dakota State University) | ||
| 3) | Revisiting the 2018/19 US-China Trade Conflict: Decomposing Price and Volume Effects from Trade Disruptions | |
| Sudip Adhikari and Jason Grant (Virginia Tech) | ||
| 4) | EU Trade Retaliation and the Curious Case of American Peanut Butter | |
| Andrew Muhammad (University of Tennessee) and Shamar L. Stewart (Virginia Tech) | ||
| Session 9: | Trade Aspect of Changing Diets and Food Loss | |
| Moderator: | Jiyeon Kim (Kansas State University) | |
| 1) | Policy Solutions for Transitioning to Healthier and Sustainable Diets in the United States | |
| Maksym Chepeliev (Purdue University), Alessandro Gatto (Wageningen University, Netherlands), Thomas Hertel, and Thiago Simonato (Purdue University) | ||
| 2) | Global Dietary Transition and Food Loss and Waste Reduction: Impacts and Interactions | |
| Alessandro Gatto (Wageningen University, Netherlands) and Maksym Chepeliev (Purdue University) | ||
| 3) | Global Transition to Healthier Diets Reduces Overall Trade in Agricultural Commodities But Increases Import Dependency | |
| Maksym Chepeliev (Purdue University), Alessandro Gatto (Wageningen University, Netherlands), Anabeth Dawn Jennings, and Dominque van der Mensbrugghe (Purdue University) | ||
| 4) | The Potential Effects and Economic Feasibility of Reducing Food Loss and Waste | |
| Celine Giner (OECD), Diego Gonzales (Bank of Spain), Claude Nenert, Armelle Elasri, Hubertus Gay, and Marcel Adenäuer (OECD) | ||
| 3:30‐3:45 | BREAK | |
| 3:45-5:00 | IATRC Members’ Business Meeting | |
| 5:00-6:30 | HATCH S-1072 MEETING – Hatch S-1072 Participants Only | |
| TUESDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2024 | ||
| 7:30-8:30 | BREAKFAST | |
| 8:30 -10:00 | CONCURRENT SESSIONS 10, 11 AND 12 | |
| Session 10: | Sustainability and Agricultural Trade: Special Issue Session 2 | |
| Moderator: | Jonathan Coleman (U.S. International Trade Commission) | |
| 1) | Agri-Food Production between ‘Climate Change and International Trade.’ An Analysis of the Economic-Environmental Implications | |
| Carla Zarbà, Alessandro Scuderi, Gaetano Chinnici, et al. (University of Catania, Italy) | ||
| 2) | Extreme Climate Events and Agricultural Commodity Markets | |
| Raghav Goyal and Mohammad A Shovon (Louisiana State University) | ||
| 3) | Tariffs and Preferential Margins: Have Trade Agreements Contributed to Agricultural Sustainability? | |
| Kiseok Shin, Jason Grant, Nicolas Legrand (Virginia Tech), Shawn Arita, and Sharon Sydow (USDA, OCE) | ||
| Session 11: | Analysis of Global Food Markets | |
| Moderator: | Sijia Chen (University of Connecticut ) | |
| 1) | China’s Growing Dairy Imports: Implications for the United States | |
| Jessie Lin and Samantha Padilla (USDA, ERS) | ||
| 2) | Evaluating the Impact of the U.S. Seafood Import Monitoring Program (SIMP) on Global Seafood Trade | |
| Bheom Seok Kim (Virginia Tech) | ||
| 3) | Used Cooking Oil for Renewable Fuels: Supply, Demand, Trade, and Policy | |
| Marcel Adenaeur (OECD), Pierre Charlebois (Retired), Sunghwi Woo (FAPRI, University of Missouri), Shawn Arita (USDA, OCE), Christian Elleby, Ignacio Perez Dominguez (European Commission), Seth Meyer (USDA, OCE), and Wyatt Thompson (FAPRI University of Missouri) | ||
| Session 12: | IATRC Commissioned Papers: Update | |
| Moderator: | Lars Brink (Independent Advisor) | |
| 1) | Global Economic Effects of Japanese Seafood Trade Bans Following Nuclear Wastewater Discharge | |
| Ming Wang, Seonhyen Kim, and Amanda Countryman (Colorado State University) | ||
| 2) | Unwinding the Trade Facilitation Agreement: Agro-Food GVC Integration, Implementation Challenges, and WTO Prospects | |
| Sandro Steinbach and Carlos Zurita (North Dakota State University) | ||
| 3) | The Impact of the WTO on Virtual Water Trade and Global Water Reallocation | |
| Dongin Kim and Sandro Steinbach (North Dakota State University) | ||
| 10:00 ‐ 10:30 | BREAK | |
| 10:30-12:30 | CONCURRENT SESSIONS 13, 14 AND 15 | |
| Session 13: | The U.S.-China Agricultural Trade Relationship: Past, Present and Future Prospects | |
| Organizers: | Shawn Arita, Sharon Sydow, Seth Meyer (USDA, OCE), Jason Grant (Virginia Tech), Sandro Steinbach (North Dakota State University), Joe Glauber (IFPRI), and Bryan Lohmar (Cal Poly) | |
| Moderator: | Sharon Sydow (USDA, OCE) | |
| 1) | China’s Impact on Global Markets: Implications for U.S. Agricultural Exports | |
| Joe Glauber (IFPRI) | ||
| 2) | China’s Growing Agricultural Imports: By Whom and from Where? | |
| Bryan Lohmar (Cal Poly) | ||
| 3) | U.S.-China Agricultural Trade: Where Do Things Stand? | |
| Jason Grant (Virginia Tech), Shawn Arita, Sharon Sydow (USDA, OCE), Nicolas Legrand (Virginia Tech), and Seth Meyer (USDA, OCE) | ||
| 4) | U.S.-China Trade Policy Shifts: Implications for U.S. Agricultural Exports | |
| Sandro Steinbach, Yasin Yildirim, and Carlos Zurita (North Dakota State University) | ||
| Session 14: | Trade Policy Exposure and Impacts on Land, Labor, Crops, and Livestock Products | |
| Organizer: | Amanda Countryman (Colorado State University) | |
| 1) | Dairy Trade Policy and Friction Analyses: (New) Gravity Estimations | |
| Magda Kondaridze (Gonzaga University), Xin Liu, and Jeff Luckstead (Washington State University) | ||
| 2) | WTO vs. TRAINS: A Quantitative Comparison of Time-Varying Ad-Valorem Equivalents for Non-Tariff Measures | |
| Sionegael Ikeme, Amanda M. Countryman (University of Colorado), Diane Charlton (Montana State University), and Dale Manning (University of Tennessee) | ||
| 3) | Effects of Trade Policy on U.S. Rural Employment and Wages | |
| Diane Charlton (Montana State University), Amanda Countryman (Colorado State University), Dale Manning (University of Tennessee) and Sionegael Ikeme (Colorado State University) | ||
| 4) | Long-Term Versus Short-Term Acreage Responses to North American Free Trade Agreement: the Case of US Field Crops Jiyeon Kim and Jisang Yu (Kansas State University) | |
| Jiyeon Kim and Jisang Yu (Kansas State University) | ||
| Session 15: | Measuring Welfare Effects of Trade Policy | |
| Moderator: | Wyatt Thompson (FAPRI University of Missouri) | |
| 1) | Welfare and Trade Effects of Turkey’s Export Ban on Olive Oil | |
| Hanifi Otgun (University of Nebraska) and Yasin Yildirim (North Dakota State University) | ||
| 2) | Measuring Welfare Effects of Discriminatory Tariffs for a Large Importing Country: A Computational Guide | |
| Gulcan Onel and James L. Seale, Jr. (University of Florida) | ||
| 3) | Welfare Implications of Trade Policy Asymmetries in Competing Export Economies | |
| Tasnim Ahmed Mahin (University of Nebraska) | ||
| 4) | The Impact of Income Growth on Continental Food Security: Evidence from the PVAR Model | |
| Mario Filizzola Costa and Gilberto Fraga (State University of Maringa, Brazil) | ||
| 12:30‐1:30 | LUNCH | |
| 3:00 | ADJOURN | |