“Shifting Policies and Global Supply Chains under Uncertainty: Advances in Modeling the World Economy”
Agenda: {Download}
Presentations
Sunday, Dec. 14, 2025
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International Cooperation Under Policy Uncertainty: Insights from Trade Research. By Nuno Limão {Download}
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Policy Shifts: Dynamic Impacts Across U.S. States and the Global Economy. By Andres Rodriguez-Clare, Feodora Teti, Mauricio Ulate, Jose P. V´asquez, Rom´an D. Z´arate {Download}
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Just Passing Through? An Empirical Analysis of Import Price Responses to Tariff Shocks. By Anson Soderberry and Justin Tobias {Download}
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From Tariffs to New Trade Deals: A Comprehensive Review of the Evolving U.S. Trade Strategy. By Antoine Bouët {Download}
Monday, Dec. 15, 2025
Session 1
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Shifting Policies and Global Supply Chains under Uncertainty: Advances in Modeling the World Economy. By Carl Zulauf and David Orden {Download}
Session 2
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Quantifying Trade Distortions and Exporter Competition in China’s Beef Market: The Impact of U.S.–China Tensions. By Andrew Muhammad, Md Deluair Hossen, and Charles Martinez {Download}
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U.S. Beef in Africa: Opportunities and Challenges. By Akinbode Okunola {Download}
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The Impact of Live Cattle and Meat Imports on Domestic Meat Prices in Turkiye. By Yunus Emre Karagulle {Download}
Session 3
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Trade Competitiveness Effects of U.S. Ethanol Mandates: An Ex-Post Assessment. By Nelson B. Villoria, Jisang Yu, and Shawn Arita {Download}
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Local policies, global markets: The effects of biofuel mandates on international agricultural trade and land use. By Felipe Grimaldi Avileis {Download}
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Global Agricultural Market and Land-Use Implications of Producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel from Second Crop Corn Ethanol in Brazil. By Amani Elobeid, Miguel Carriquiry, Luciane Chiodi Bachion, Sofia Marques Arantes, and Jerome Dumortier {Download}
Session 4
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Shifting Trade Policies and Environmental Outcomes in Livestock Sectors. By Alla Golub, Maksym Chepeliev, Thiago Simonato, Carlos Gonzalez Fischer, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe {Coming Soon}
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Heterogeneous Effects of Environmental Outcomes Across Regional Trade Agreements. By Tasnim Ahmed Mahin and Lia Nogueira {Download}
Session 5
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How Do Trade Agreements Shape Agricultural Export Patterns? The Case of Mercosur. By Raphael Gomes da Silva and Lia Nogueira {Download}
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Trade Agreements and the U.S. Agricultural Trade Deficit: Simulating Future Opportunities. By Carlos Zurita and Sandro Steinbach {Download}
Session 6
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The General Equilibrium Effect of Genetically Modified Crops and Trade Policies. By Felipe D. Barbosa, Sanghyun Han, Sandro Steinbach, Carlos Zurita {Download}
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Detailed Food and Agriculture in a General Equilibrium Framework. By Angel Aguiar {Download}
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Modeling the Global Supply Chain Impacts of U.S. Reciprocal Tariffs: A Recursive Dynamic CGE Approach. By Pattawee Puangchit and Erwin Corong {Coming soon}
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Global Drivers and Gridded Impacts of Tariff Escalation Policies: A GTAP-SIMPLEG Model to Analyze Deforestation in Brazil. By Erwin Corong and Zhan Wang {Coming soon}
Session 7
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US Power-Based Bargaining Redux: Implications for the WTO and Global Trade Flows. By Ian Sheldon {Download}
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Friendshoring and Agricultural Trade in a Geopolitically Divided World. By Aaron Staples, K. Aleks Schaefer, and Trey Malone {Download}
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Are Trade Agreements Passé? By Jason Grant {Download}
Session 8
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Environmental Policy Shocks and Market Adjustment: Lessons from China’s Waste Trade Ban. By Zihan Zhang {Download}
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Environmental Policy Shocks and Market Adjustment: Lessons from China’s Waste Trade Ban. By Zihan Zhang {Download}
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How do Agricultural Subsidies in Major Economies Affect Brazilian Export Competitiveness? By Michelle M. Viana Martins, Alice A. da Cruz, Heloisa L. Burnquist, and Leonardo Ferraz {Download}
Session 9
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Trade Openness and Nutritional Security in India: Analyses at Sub-National Level. By Poornima Varma, Vidya Vemireddy, and Drishti Sharma {Download}
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Trade and sustainability linkages in Vietnam: Stakeholders’ views from three key value chains. By Ilenia Manetti; Roberto Henke; Maria Rosaria Pupo D’Andrea; Federica Demaria; Raffaele D’Annolfo; Federica Morandi; Felicetta Carillo; Vincenzo Carè; Sara Romano; and Viet Hoang {Download presentation | Infographics}
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Advancing Food Waste Estimates in the United States and Worldwide. By Maksym Chepeliev, Alessandro Gatto, and Jing Liu {Download}
Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2025
Session 10
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Measuring Carbon Footprints of Agri-Food Products: Implications for Trade. By Koen Deconinck {Download}
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Measuring Carbon Footprints in Agriculture. By Jason Grant {Download}
Session 11
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Trade Effects of Veterinary Drug Maximum Residue Limits in Major Meat Markets. By Akinbode Okunola, Elliott Dennis, and Edward Balistreri {Download}
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SPS case study: The impacts of live animal trade bans on the North American cattle and beef markets. By Sera Chiuchiarelli, Wyatt Thompson, and Patrick Westhoff {Download}
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Regional Dynamics and Global Impacts of Foot-And-Mouth Disease in Brazil. By Taís C. de Menezes, Nicolas Cardenas, Joaquim Bento Ferreira Filho, Amanda Countryman, and Gustavo Machado {Download}
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Understanding Agricultural Trade Diversion from Mycotoxin Rejections: Insights from Structural Models and Machine Learning. By Leonardo Ferraz {Download}
Session 12
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The Effects of the Chinese Ban on Brazilian Beef Exports. By Margarida Aguiar {Download}
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Determinants of Export Duration: A Survival Analysis of Livestock Product Imports into the United States. By Hanifi Otgun and Elliott Dennis {Download}
Session 13
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Trade Barriers and Local Price Signals: Impacts of Tariff Announcements on Crop Basis. By Wuit Yi Lwin, Shawn Arita, Sandro Steinbach {Download}
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The Short-Run Price Impact of 2025 U.S. Tariffs on the Fertilizer Market. By Jiyeon Kim, Rwit Chakravorty, Wuit Yi Lwin, and Shawn Arita {Download}
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Disentangling Supply and Export Demand Shocks for U.S. Crop Markets. By Chenyang “Nate” Hu and Jason Grant {To request this presentation, email Jennifer Shelton at jennifershelton@vt.edu}
Session 14
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Global Food Security Impacts of Extreme Weather Events and Occurrence of Breadbasket Failures. By Will Martin, Reza Nia, and Rob Vos {Download}
Session 15
To request these presentations, email Jennifer Shelton at jennifershelton@vt.edu
Session 16
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The impact of non-tariff trade measures on labor outcomes: Lessons from the US-China trade war. By Sionegael Ikeme, Amanda Countryman, Dale Manning, Diane Charlton {Download}
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Can California’s Fruit and Vegetable Industry Survive Higher Wages and Increasing Imports? By Bryan Lohmar, Lynn Hamilton, and Michael McCullough {Download}
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Measuring Employment and Job Quality in Agrifood Systems: Accounting for Backward and Forward Linkages. By Erwin Corong, Madhur Gautam, Will Martin, and Rob Vos {Download}